Winter Rite of Passage: Tioga Pass Prognosticator #12

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12-20-2011, 08:46 AM
Mark Sedenquist

Into the Breach once again

Yes, it's looking likely that we're going for a record-breaking closing date.

So, Friday, January 6th at Noon.

Recapping those still current....

December 23rd at 9:00 am....CAguy90230
December 25th at 9:00 am....CalOldBlue
December 29th at 8:30 am.....Mark Sedenquist
January 1st at no-time..........CAnative
January 6th at Noon.....Mark Sedenquist

The following members are listed on the Poll (above) as being January 1st to the 7th: but this is a result of a boo-boo by me in editing the poll. None of these members have submitted active prognosticator dates beyond December 20th...
deniserows,
Pelle,
Squidly-Enthusiast,
Utahtea

....And I adjusted the poll length!

Mark
12-20-2011, 11:51 AM
glc

Put me down for Jan 4th at 4pm, please.
12-20-2011, 02:31 PM
CAnative

A time as well ..... 3 pm on January 1, 2012
12-21-2011, 07:46 AM
glc

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark Sedenquist

Caltrans tends to close Ebbetts early -- snow removal chores there are a bear. But Sonora might be "closed" on paper, but I know someone who drove over the pass recently.

Mark

This is really getting strange - the Caltrans site this morning says Ebbetts is OPEN but Sonora is still closed.
12-21-2011, 08:06 AM
Midwest Michael

If I guess "Will not close" would that mean I would also win the annual Spring Opening contest too?
12-21-2011, 11:09 AM
Mark Sedenquist

Sheriff Dave has some work to ponder

@glc: Ebbets is OPEN? That is scary bad in terms of snowpack

@Michael: Sheriff Dave is going to have to write some new rules to incorporate such an entry if this keeps up much longer....

Mark
12-21-2011, 12:24 PM
CAnative

The "no closure" concept was raised earlier. A long-range forecast months ago predicted a long Fall with a late cold and wet Spring.
12-21-2011, 01:42 PM
glc

What can I say, Mark?

Quote:

SR 4
[IN THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AREA]
NO TRAFFIC RESTRICTIONS ARE REPORTED FOR THIS AREA.

SR 108
[IN THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AREA & SIERRA NEVADA]
IS CLOSED FROM 26.4 MI EAST OF STRAWBERRY (TUOLUMNE CO) TO 5.4 MI WEST OF
THE JCT OF US 395 (MONO CO) /SONORA PASS/ - DUE TO SNOW - MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED
TO USE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE
12-21-2011, 02:16 PM
Mark Sedenquist

This page shows Sonora open too!

It's all weird. This page shows that the following passes are still open!

Ebbetts Pass SR 4
Monitor Pass SR 89
Sonora Pass SR 108
Tioga Pass SR 120
June Lake Loop SR 158

Lassen Loop SR 89 Closed on November 23rd.
Mammoth Lakes SR 203 Closed on November 4th
Lake Sabrina to Aspendell Closed on November 22nd
12-21-2011, 04:48 PM
Southwest Dave

Doesn't have to be this year.....

.......but I like your style !

Quote:

Originally Posted by Midwest Michael

If I guess "Will not close" would that mean I would also win the annual Spring Opening contest too?

Only if you can guess the correct time it didn't re-open !?!!? lol

Until we have a closure, we can't have an opening contest. That might be tricky, but you could consider your next prediction being in 2012. No not January or February, but November/December 2012 ! ;-) It is named 'Prognosticator 12' and not Prognosticator 2011 after-all and it has to close sometime in the next few years. LOL.

It's gotta close this winter, HASN'T IT !?!??

These records here date back to 1933. The latest closure is listed as January 1 2000 [1999 season] but that doesn't fall in line with the Yosemite sites official date of Nov 23 for that year. The next latest closing recorded was in 1976 and was listed as closed on December 29.

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