View Poll Results: When Will Tioga Pass Open for the 2013 Season?

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  • On or before April 1st

    0 0%
  • April 2nd to April 28th

    0 0%
  • April 29th to May 5th

    1 10.00%
  • May 6th to May 13th

    3 30.00%
  • May 14th to May 20th

    2 20.00%
  • May 21st to May May 26th

    4 40.00%
  • May 27th to May 31st

    0 0%
  • June 1 to June 5th

    0 0%
  • June 6th to June 10th

    0 0%
  • On or after June 11

    0 0%
Multiple Choice Poll.
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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default Tioga Pass Prognosticator #15

    Tioga Pass Prognosticator #15
    Tioga Pass which is found on California State Route 120 provides the eastern access to Yosemite National Park and is usually the last pass opened to the roadtripping public each Spring. As such, it has become the RTA harbinger for the start of the summer road trip season in the west. For all of those folks who think that Tioga Pass is not a big deal... one of our long-time roadtripper colleagues remembers driving it in the 1930's when it was a single lane, dirt track, with no guardrails and drop-offs on both sides of the road.... A year ago we observed the latest ever recorded closing, and this year was one of the earliest closing dates. Climate change appears to be affecting the Tioga Pass Prognostication "game." For the first time in a couple of seasons there both the Chief Prognosticator (TPP) and dcTPP (darn-close prognosticator) positions are open.


    (Photo: Kingman, Arizona on Route 66, April, 2013 fueling her car on RTA's dime)
    The former Reigning Chief Prognosticator, Jessica Beagles-Roos known on the Great American RoadTrip Forum as CAnative earned her title with back-to-back winning predictions for the opening date of the Spring 2011 season, (June 18th at 10:00 am) and the Winter 2011 closing date (January 17th, 2012 at 3:00 pm). She nearly pulled off a three-peat by correctly guessing (off-line) that the opening date would be May 7th, 2012. Unfortunately she didn't make that guess official and so her record-breaking three-peat performance came to an end.

    George Carey, (glc on the Forum) is the most recent acting dcTPP (Which is also known as the official Darn Close -- Tioga Pass Prognosticator). George joins four other dcTPPs...Don Casey (CalOldBlue), Hotel Charlotte ( Lynn & Victor), Kinless, and Sheriff Dave, for their predictive skills in the winter of 2010 and 2009, and the spring of 2008 & 2007, respectively.

    So, now it's a clean slate. Do you have what it takes to be the new Chief Tioga Pass Prognosticator?


    ************Forum Moderator, Dave Gomm, (Southwest Dave) is the official Sheriff and Chief Wrangler for this contest and his rulings as to the naming of the winner are final, (& they also could be arbitrary & capricious) Got a beef? Or a question? Take it up with him...

    So here's official list -- as approved by Sheriff & Chief Wrangler Dave Gomm:
    Prognosticators Extraordinaire To-Date:
    Tioga Pass Prognosticator Winners:
    Jessica Beagles-Roos (CAnative), Spring 2011 and Winter 2011 (although it actually closed in 2012)
    Brian Shannon (Exodus) Spring, 2010
    Phil Boardman, (PhilB) Spring 2009
    weirj Winter 2008
    ******dcTPP (Darn Close -- Tioga Pass Prognosticator)
    *************George Carey (glc), Spring 2012
    *************Sheriff Dave Gomm (Southwest Dave), Winter 2010
    *************Don Casey (CalOldBlue), Winter 2009
    *************Lynn & Victor (Hotel Charlotte), Spring 2008
    *************Joey (Kinless), Spring 2007

    Official Tioga Pass openings in recent years:
    2013: May 11th (Noon)
    2012: May 7th (Noon)
    2011: June 18th (8:45 am)
    2010: June 5th (8:00 am)
    2009: May 19th (10:30 am)
    2008: May 21st (8:00 am)
    2007: May 11th (this was an early one!)
    2006: June 17th
    2005: June 24th
    2004: May 14th
    2003: May 31st
    2002: May 22nd
    2001: May 12th

    And here are the Yosemite NP's Official opening and closing dates for the last several years.

    The "Contest"
    You are welcome to use your predictive talents and if you manage to hit the correct date -- the RTA Editorial group will pay for a tank of roadtrip fuel in your personal roadtrip ride. Legal has suggested that we identify what this means.... So, for the record, the prize will be limited to $75.00 USD* To win this prize, the date must be posted** on this Forum more than or equal to fifteen (15) days prior to the official Tioga Pass Road CLOSING date. (**Your "date" must be identified in a post on this thread...**)
    * Further, you must identify a particular date in your post.
    * Further, you must identify a particular time in your post (date and time is required for the winning entry).
    *And if you manage to identify the correct opening time within 60 minutes.... you'll receive an additional surprise gift from RTA.
    * A single calendar date can only be claimed by one member. If two or more members chose the same calendar date, and that date proves to be the "Winning Date", the prize will go to the member who "claimed" the date the earliest in this contest period.
    *The official date for this Tioga Pass Prognosticator contest tracks with Pacific Time (USA), so no matter what date it might be in your local neighborhood, the date used for this contest will be the same one used by the officials at Yosemite National Park for Tioga Pass.

    When you have identified your prediction in your post, please "Ping the Poll" at the top of page

    Previous Predictive Efforts:
    Spring Opening 2006
    Winter Closing 2006
    Spring Opening 2007
    Winter Closing 2007
    Spring Opening 2008
    Winter Closing 2008
    Spring Opening 2009
    Winter Closing 2009
    Spring Opening 2010
    Winter Closing, 2010
    Spring 2011 Opening
    Winter 2011 Closing...
    Spring 2012 Opening
    Winter 2012 Closing

    And here you can monitor current conditions from 5 Web cams in Yosemite NP.

    And this is a very cool page -- it lists the opening and closing dates for other high Sierra Nevada passes, which might give you an edge as predict this year's dates.... (Produced by Caltrans).

    Happy Predicting!

    Sheriff Dave and the Great American RoadTrip Forum Staff
    Last edited by Mark Sedenquist; 05-14-2013 at 10:54 PM.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default First of the season

    First dart in.... May 24th at 8:30 am

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default Hump grows and grows

    The "hump" is still growing -- look how whacked the trees are this year! Must have been very windy at this point!

    (Photo courtesy of the Yosemite Conservancy)

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,697

    Default Here goes.

    Having pondered long and hard about this, [almost a minute in fact] I'm going to opt for;

    Thursday May 16th at Noon. [Based on the fact we haven't had 'one of those 'listed before on the Yosemite site ! ]

    Good luck folks !

    Dave.

    [It sure do look nice up there at the moment, wheres my snowshoes !]

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,697

    Default Wow ! Really nice up there at the moment.

    And the snow would appear to be melting away !



    [I'm sure there is plenty to come !]

    Dave.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,697

    Default Unbelievable !

    Just look at it from the Sentinel web cam ! Little snow with blue skys and the daytime temps are set to touch 50f over the weekend !



    Could this be a real early opening on the cards, or will we see a late flurry of snow ?


    Just look at the comparision to Feb 18 2011 !!


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