View Poll Results: When Will Tioga Pass Open for the 2010 Season?

Voters
11. You may not vote on this poll
  • On or Before April 30th

    0 0%
  • May 1st to May 7th

    2 18.18%
  • May 8th to May 12th

    1 9.09%
  • May 13th to May 15th

    0 0%
  • May 16th to May 19th

    0 0%
  • May 20th to May 21st

    0 0%
  • May 22nd to May 25th

    3 27.27%
  • May 26th to May 31st

    0 0%
  • June 1st to June 10th

    3 27.27%
  • On June 11th or after....

    2 18.18%
Multiple Choice Poll.
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Results 1 to 10 of 70
  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,052

    Default Tioga Pass Prognosticator #9

    This is our ninth attempt at predicting future road conditions on one of our favorite mountain crossings in the American West. Last spring, (June, 2009), we awarded our the second ever official Tioga Pass Prognosticator Award to Great American RoadTrip Forum member Phil Boardman. More information about that award can be found here.

    Tioga Pass which is found on California State Route 120 provides the eastern access to Yosemite National Park and is usually the last pass opened to the roadtripping public each Spring. As such, it has become the RTA harbinger for the start of the summer road trip season in the west.

    ************Forum Moderator, Dave Gomm, (Southwest Dave) is the official Sheriff and Chief Wrangler for this contest and his rulings as to the naming of the winner are final, (& they also be arbritrary & capricious) Got a beef? Or a question? Take it up with him...

    In the past we've had three winners of the dcTPP… (Which is also known as the official Darn Close -- Tioga Pass Prognosticator) -- Don Casey (CalOldBlue), Hotel Charlotte ( Lynn & Victor) and Kinless, for their predictive skills in the winter of 2009, spring of 2008 and 2007, respectively, and the first Tioga Pass Prognosticator award was presented to weirj in Winter 2008. We're now looking for our second Tioga Pass Prognosticator for the Spring road opening. Maybe you're the next one?

    So here's official list -- as approved by Sheriff & Chief Wrangler Dave Gomm:
    Prognosticators Extraordinaire To-Date:
    Tioga Pass Prognosticator Winners:
    Phil Boardman, (PhilB) Spring 2009 (Click here for news about this achievement)
    weirj Winter 2008
    ******dcTPP (Darn Close -- Tioga Pass Prognosticator)
    *************Don Casey (CalOldBlue) Winter 2009 Click here for the declaration of dcTPP winner!
    *************Lynn & Victor (Hotel Charlotte) Spring 2008
    *************Joey (Kinless) Spring 2007


    Official Tioga Pass openings in recent years:
    2009: May 19th (10:30 am)
    2008: May 21st (8:00 am)
    2007: May 11th (this was an early one!)
    2006: June 17th
    2005: June 24th
    2004: May 14th
    2003: May 31st
    2002: May 22nd
    2001: May 12th

    The "Contest"
    You are welcome to use your predictive talents and if you manage to hit the correct date -- the RTA Editorial group will pay for a tank of roadtrip fuel in your personal roadtrip ride. Legal has suggested that we identify what this means.... So, for the record, the prize will be limited to $75.00 USD

    * To win this prize, the date must be posted** on this Forum more than or equal to fifteen (15) days prior to the official Tioga Pass Road OPENING date. (**Your "date" must be identified in a post on this thread...**)
    * Further, you must identify a particular date in your post.
    * Further, you must identify a particular time in your post (date and time is required for the winning entry).
    *And if you manage to identify the correct opening time within 60 minutes.... you'll receive an additional surprise gift from RTA.
    * A single calendar date can only be claimed by one member. If two or more members chose the same calendar date, and that date proves to be the "Winning Date", the prize will go to the member who "claimed" the date the earliest in this contest period.
    *The official date for this Tioga Pass Prognosticator contest tracks with Pacific Time (USA), so no matter what date it might be in your local neighborhood, the date used for this contest will be the same one used by the officials at Yosemite National Park for Tioga Pass.

    Previous Predictive Efforts:
    Spring Opening 2006
    Winter Closing 2006
    Spring Opening 2007
    Winter Closing 2007
    Spring Opening 2008
    Winter Closing 2008
    Spring Opening 2009
    Winter Closing 2009

    And here are the Yosemite National Park Official Closing and Opening Dates for last several years!

    And this is a very cool page -- it lists the opening and closing dates for other high Sierra Nevada passes, which might give you an edge as predict this year's dates.... (Produced by Caltrans).

    Here are five Web cams from Yosemite Valley. If you scroll down the bottom of this Web cam page, you will see a photo of the current conditions at the Tioga Pass Entry Gate.... {Often times in winter, the camera lens is covered by snow, so if nothing is showing in the photo below, check back in a couple of days} Or... you can just check in every day!

    (Photo is supposed to be updated 4 times per day by UCSD)

    Happy Predicting!

    Great American RoadTrip Forum Staff
    Last edited by Mark Sedenquist; 12-15-2009 at 01:48 PM.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,052

    Default Going for my birthday again

    I think the odds are that one of these years, it will happen (again) on my birthday and so May 12th at 10:30 am

    Mark
    Last edited by Mark Sedenquist; 12-02-2009 at 07:44 PM.

  3. #3

    Default

    May 1st for me... midday :)

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,052

    Default Please "ping" the poll

    Craig,

    If you're entering a predictive date, please indicate on the poll, that's the only way we really have of keeping track of the entries -- your vote will be recorded there and then Sheriff Dave can drill down to get the specifics to chose the Winner next spring.

    Mark

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,696

    Default Here goes.

    I am opting for an early one as well so my date is,

    May 6th @ 4 pm

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Location
    Joplin MO
    Posts
    9,217

    Default

    May 22, 8am.

    Looks like we have more votes than posts...........

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,696

    Default Indeed.

    Good spot !

    Please read the rules carefully !] If your predicted date and time is not identified in a post in this thread it will not qualify !

    Good luck everyone !

  8. #8
    Join Date
    May 2009
    Location
    SF Bay Area
    Posts
    777

    Default We need the water!

    I'm going late; not because I think that's what will happen, but because that's what this state NEEDS to happen.

    June 4 at noon.

    For those who like watching grass grow, this chart from the state water department shows a composite of 8 rain gauges in the Sierra, and gives a good overview of the state of our water year (in the north at least).

    You can see how this year (pink line) is on track (dotted black line), the previous year (green line) wasn't all that bad, but the prior year (yellow line) was awful. Chart doesn't show the year before that, but it was as bad or worse.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,696

    Default Spring thaw "on hold"

    As the plowing towards the entrance kiosk at the East entrance begins the thaw has been put on hold due to recent winter weather conditions, so it will be interesting how this unfolds over the coming weeks. For those biding their time, please remember that your prediction must be posted at least 15 days prior to your selected date.

    Latest info.

    Good luck to all who take part !
    Last edited by Southwest Dave; 04-18-2010 at 01:26 AM. Reason: Clarity.

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    South of England.
    Posts
    10,696

    Default Progress.

    The crews have made steady [slow] progress and are now 12 miles in from Crane flat, about 4 days later compared to this time and point last year.

    Tioga Road:
    Start: 9 miles from Crane Flat
    End: 12 miles from Crane Flat (8,000 ft mark)
    Miles plowed: 3 miles
    The going looks a little slower and I think there is more snow depth, so for a second prediction I am going to grab,

    May 27th @ 10am.

    Note. Anyone taking a second guess will not be able to "ping the poll," [only one ping available] but your prediction will count as long as it is identified in your post as per the rules in post 1.
    Last edited by Southwest Dave; 04-29-2010 at 12:33 AM. Reason: Added info

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