View Poll Results: When will Tioga Pass Close?

Voters
14. You may not vote on this poll
  • On or before Halloween (Oct. 31st)

    1 7.14%
  • November 1 to November 10th

    2 14.29%
  • November 11th to November 16th

    3 21.43%
  • November 17th to November 22nd

    3 21.43%
  • November 23rd to November 26th

    1 7.14%
  • November 27th to November 30th

    1 7.14%
  • December 1st to December 6th

    3 21.43%
  • December 7th to December 10th

    0 0%
  • December 11th to December 15th

    0 0%
  • December 16th to December 21st

    0 0%
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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default Tioga Pass Prognosticator #4

    This is our fourth attempt at predicting future road conditions on one of our favorite mountain crossings in the American West. Tioga Pass which is found on California State Route 120 connects California’s Owens Valley with the Central Valley while crossing the rugged Sierra Nevada Mountain range. When the snows of autumn descend on this alpine route, we know that winter in all of her majesty is about to close the high country for another summer road trip season and so this poll is a tradition rite of passage for the Great American RoadTrip Forum.

    12/12/07: The official date was just announced:
    The Official Closing Date for 2007 was December 6th!

    Last year, this famous road closed on November 26, 2006*. In 2005, it closed on the 25th of November….hmmm, maybe there is a trend here somewhere. Here are the official opening and closing dates from 1980 to the present. Actually, in April, 2007, the NPS website showed that the official closing date was November 27th (even though I know the gates were shut on the 26th and so RTA Forum Member memetu, was technically correct -- memetu predicted the 27th – (and there is no statute of limitation on the 2006 award…should anyone know how to reach memetu.)

    For the Spring opening, RTA Forum member, Kinless used his highly honed prognosticator skills and predicted that Tioga Pass would open for the summer, 2007 road trip season, on May 10th. Unfortunately, it actually opened at Noon on May 11th, so for the want of this 24 hour period, he missed the grand prize but earned the equally coveted title of dcTPP… (Which is also known as the official Darn Close -- Tioga Pass Prognosticator) More about the Spring opening poll can be found by clicking here.

    You are welcome to use your predictive talents and if you manage to hit the correct date -- the RTA Editorial group will pay for a tank of roadtrip fuel in your personal roadtrip ride. Legal has suggested that we identify what this means.... So, for the record, the prize will be limited to $75.00 USD To win this prize, the date must be posted on this Forum more than or equal to fifteen (15) days prior to the official closing date.

    Good luck!

    RTA Editorial Team

    Current Record Holders:
    Prognosticators Extraordinaire To-Date:
    Tioga Pass Prognosticator Winners:
    Phil Boardman, (PhilB) Spring 2009 (Click here for news about this achievement)
    weirj Winter 2008
    ******dcTPP (Darn Close -- Tioga Pass Prognosticator)
    *************Don Casey (CalOldBlue) Winter 2009 Click here for the declaration of dcTPP winner!
    *************Lynn & Victor (Hotel Charlotte) Spring 2008
    *************Joey (Kinless) Spring 2007
    Last edited by Mark Sedenquist; 12-02-2009 at 03:12 PM. Reason: Closing Date for Entries specified

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default I think it is going to be "dry" heat....

    So, I am thinking that the ultimate summer road trip road, will be open until December 2nd.

    Mark

  3. Default Using the most scientific method available...

    I predict the closure this year for November 15th.

    Of course, the last totally accurate weather forecast was when God told Noah there was 100% chance of rain...

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default What scientific process is that?

    Quote Originally Posted by Arizona Bob View Post
    I predict the closure this year for November 15th.
    OK Dokey, -- What scientific calculation was this?

    Mark

  5. Default

    It was the science of the carefully calculated guess!

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default Well, I've been wrong three times thus far

    My educated guess technique could stand some improvement -- I have been wrong each time....

    Seems a little weird to predicting the closure and the pavement is not yet dry on the summer opening... but time marches on!

    Mark

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Tustin, California, United States
    Posts
    272

    Default Deadline?

    Actually I guessed May 10th for the 2007 TPP opening but either way it was one day off. Regardless I'm happy to receive a runner-up prize.

    Mark, I had a question. Is there a "cut off" date where no more guesses are allowed? I think the only reason I guessed accurately for the opening is because I knew there wasn't much snowfall for the season and used that to my advantage.

    Obviously it's a little harder to strategize when the first big snowfall will be, but regardless, will (or should) there be a deadline?

  8. #8
    Join Date
    May 2005
    Location
    Bay Area, CA
    Posts
    234

    Default what have I got?

    I am not going with birthdays!(Well, none of my family has a birthday that time).
    I know Summer is strong. I am picking Dec 1st.
    As much as I would want to win, I'd actually be happy if winter came soon.
    Its just too hot!

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default Winter road trips are being planned now

    I just responded to a new member who was hoping to use this pass the first week of December -- it may still be open.... Time will see. What is your latest prediction?

    Mark

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Jan 1998
    Location
    Las Vegas, Nevada
    Posts
    10,053

    Default Yowza! Snow on the pass!

    I just looked at the web cam at the entry kiosk for Yosemite on the Tioga Pass road -- there is snow on the ground! Early!

    Today's look at that link (above) it melted pretty fast....

    Mark
    Last edited by Mark Sedenquist; 09-25-2007 at 09:41 AM.

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